President Donald Trump slapped steep tariffs on imports of washing machines and solar energy cells and panels Monday, the first major step by the administration to erect the kind of trade barriers Trump has frequently said are necessary to protect manufacturers in the United States.
The tariffs could be bad news for North Carolina and its clean energy industry.
The state ranks as high as second in solar power production (behind California) with solar farms having sprouted from places such as SAS headquarters campus in Cary to rural areas where a growing number of fields produce electricity, not crops. And Duke Energy has invested heavily in solar as it seeks to meet state-mandated levels of clean energy production.
Last year, several N.C. politicians lobbied against the solar panel tariffs, warning the move could cost jobs.
“The cost of generating solar energy from rooftop panels has plummeted by more than 85 percent in less than a decade, but President Trump’s action will reverse that progress,” warned Kevin Steinberger, policy analyst, Climate and Clean Energy Program at the Natural Resources Defense Council.” Higher-priced panels will dramatically reduce the pace of new solar energy installations, increase climate-changing emissions, and lead to significant job losses nationwide.”
According to RTI International in a report issued last October, clean energy development supported 126,440 annual full-time equivalents (FTEs), equivalent to one person working full time for a year, from 2007 to 2016. The report was published by the NC Sustainable Energy Association.
The Solar Energy Association has estimated that tariffs could lead to the loss of some 4,700 jobs.
Action, not rhetoric
The twin announcements came after a year of tough rhetoric — but little action — on curbing imports of cheap products from countries like China and South Korea.
White House advisers warned that additional trade measures related to steel, aluminum and other products from China could be coming, a signal that Trump is ratcheting up the protectionist policies he has long espoused as part of his “America First” approach.
The imposition of tariffs will most likely exacerbate trade tensions with other nations, including China, and could result in an escalation of retaliatory trade measures against imports from the United States. Both China and South Korea harshly criticized the move, with both suggesting they could take their complaints to the World Trade Organization, which settles trade disputes. The decisions also seemed poised to ignite a wave of similar trade cases from other U.S. companies, which might be encouraged by Trump’s action.
While the tariffs were welcomed by the companies that sought them, economists warned the levies could drive up prices for consumers and hurt some U.S. businesses.
The solar industry has been split over the tariffs. Companies that develop large-scale solar farms, as well as purchasers of solar power such as retailers and tech companies, opposed the tariffs over concerns that they would cost them more money and make solar power less competitive with other energy sources, at least in the short term.
Abigail Ross Hopper, president of the Solar Energy Industries Association, which opposed the measures, said the decision “will create a crisis in a part of our economy that has been thriving, which will ultimately cost tens of thousands of hardworking, blue-collar Americans their jobs.”
Other trade skeptics were more sanguine about the president’s decision, including Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, where Whirlpool makes its washers. Brown, who described himself as an ally of the administration on trade, called the decision “welcome news” and said the tariffs “will help level the playing field, and show anyone who tries to cheat our trade laws that they won’t get away with it.”
The trade cases rely on a little-used section of trade law that provides a “safeguard” for industries beset by imports — and that casts a wide net on products from around the world. The law has not been used to impose tariffs since 2002, when President George W. Bush clamped down on imports of steel.
Still, that approach has shown mixed results. The World Trade Organization ruled against the U.S. in 2003, and the Bush administration ultimately withdrew the measure under threat of retaliation.
China on Tuesday hinted it could take a similar approach. “With regard to the wrong measures taken by the United States, China will work with other WTO members to resolutely defend our legitimate interests,” its Ministry of Commerce said in a statement.
In both of Monday’s cases, trade officials said the safeguard measure was necessary because foreign producers were evading U.S. restrictions on imports from specific countries by hopscotching their factories around the globe.
Robert Lighthizer, the U.S. trade representative, said the president had decided to accept the recommendations of his trade advisers in imposing tariffs ranging from 15 percent to 50 percent on various imports.
“The president’s action makes clear again that the Trump administration will always defend American workers, farmers, ranchers and businesses,” Lighthizer said.
The administration was not alone in finding the imports harmful. The U.S. International Trade Commission, an independent body of trade officials, also examined the cases and found that imports were hurting domestic manufacturers. They also made several recommendations that ranged in severity; Trump ultimately opted for relatively stringent measures after consulting with his own advisers.
The president approved solar tariffs for the next four years, starting with levies of 30 percent that will ultimately fall to 15 percent. In each of the four years, the first 2.5 gigawatts of imported solar cells will be exempted from the tariff, an exception designed to ensure that existing solar module manufacturers in the United States can still access cheap supplies of cells.
The administration said that the tariffs are largely directed at China, which over the past decade has built itself into the world’s largest manufacturer of solar products, flooding global markets with low-cost crystalline silicon panels. While the United States has previously imposed restrictions on Chinese solar products, Chinese firms simply moved production to other countries, the U.S. trade representative said in its announcement.
But since the United States already levies many trade restrictions on Chinese products, neither measure appeared likely to put a significant dent in China’s exports. Other countries may be hit harder. Currently, more than 95 percent of U.S. solar panels are imported, with half of those imports coming from Malaysia and South Korea.
While that global production frenzy has hurt U.S. solar manufacturers, it has been a boon to those who want to buy solar power. The average cost of solar installations in the United States has fallen more than 70 percent since 2009, from $7.50 per watt down to around $1.50 per watt.
But major solar companies that operate global supply chains worry that their products will be caught in the snare.
Suvi Sharma, chief executive of Solaria, a solar panel maker headquartered in California that makes products in both the United States and South Korea, said the trade action would be an incentive to shift more of its operations into the United States. But he also worried that it could damage the industry’s prospects by making solar energy more expensive in a highly competitive utility market.
“With a high tariff, there is going to be more manufacturing of solar in the United States, but the question is, at what cost?” Sharma asked.