Posts tagged “Mike Walden”
North Carolina will add 100,000 net jobs in 2017 and its aggregate growth will exceed national growth, reversing the post recession trend, says NC State University economist Dr. Mike Walden in his first quarter 2017 economic forecast. Jobless rates will fall to below 4 percent in Durham, Raleigh and Asheville, but remain above 6 percent in Goldsboro and Rocky Mount.
Analysis: Now, just as in 1960 and almost every election since, today's presidential contest focuses on the economy. One of the big economic issues is relatively slow growth. Which candidate offers the best plan? Each of us has about two months to decide which best fits reality! Here's an overview of both plans.
Analysis: The on-going transformation occurring in the economy is bringing more negative side effects to our state than to the nation. Stated another, North Carolina can be viewed as "ground zero" for the seismic shifts that are happening in the economy.
Analysis: There are two questions to address about the growth slump. The first is, what's causing it? The second is, what - if anything - can we do about it? As you will see, there's an abundance of both economic diagnoses and solutions.
International trade is a big hot spot in the current U.S. presidential campaign for both parties. In a textbook world, international trade improves the economies of both countries and people. But, as even teachers know, the real world doesn't always follow the textbook. International trade has created winners and losers. The question is, can a system be created where everyone wins?
The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates in the near future and is in economic headlines almost daily. Dr. Michael Walden, economics professor at NCSU, takes a look at the Fed. Should it be modified or ended?
Analysis: Disruption is no longer a narrow field that can be handled by a new division or department of a company. It is happening wherever technology can be applied. Companies need all hands on board -- with all divisions working together to find ways to reinvent themselves and defend themselves from the onslaught of new competition. This is a company-wide effort which requires bold new thinking, writes technology author and tech entrepreneur Vivek Wadhwa.
The NCSU IIndex of North Carolina leading economic indicators, (the "Index"), a forecast of the economy's direction four to six months ahead, declined by 0.8% in September. This continued a downward trend in the Index, which has dropped in eight of the past twelve months. A similar national decline may be partly responsible.
Taxes are always part of discussions about government and public policy, and taxes were clearly a hot topic in the recent session of the North Carolina General Assembly. Debates occurred about taxing services, lowering income tax rates, implementing incentives for business and energy expenditures, and dividing public revenues between urban and rural counties. Legislation was passed for some of these items, but economist Mike Walden says there will be more discussion and debate in future sessions.
The North Carolina State Index, a forecast of the economy's direction four to six months ahead, declined by a modest 0.4% in August, continuing a downward trend that began in mid-2014. However, the reduction in the Index should be characterized as an "easing" rather than a "tumble", suggesting no near term threat of an recession.
Much of the economic news has been rather gloomy recently. There have been wild swings in the stock market, with multi-hundred point losses on some days. The Chinese economy may be in free-fall, while Europe is dealing with thousands of refugees from the war-torn Middle East. Canada is officially in a recession. And although jobs are being created, more than 10 percent of individuals in the labor force either don't have a job, have given up looking for a job or are working part-time because they can't find full-time work. Does this mean another recession?
Some troubling news about North Carolina's economy made the headlines recently. Numbers for an economic concept called gross domestic product", or GDP, were released for 2014. While North Carolina's GDP increased in 2014, it rose much less than in the nation. The comparison was a 1.4 percent gain for the state versus a 2.2 percent improvement for the nation. Does this mean it's time to worry about the state's economic rebound?
The North Carolina economy rebounded in April, ending a recent skid, according to the North Carolina State University Index of Leading Economic Indicators compiled by NCSU economist Dr. Michael Walden.
Only 11 percent of workers in North Carolina now leave home for the factory. And just 1 percent of workers now say farming is their primary occupation. Does this mean we no longer raise crops and livestock or manufacture products? Absolutely not: Farming and manufacturing are still very important to the North Carolina economy.
Analysis: Given the economic benefits a new auto plant would bring, it seems like courting one for North Carolina is a "no-brainer." So what's the issue? The issue is the "I" word - incentives. In today's competitive economic environment, it is unlikely an auto factory will come to a state without being provided incentives.
Dr. Michael Walden of N.C. State University says a common plot in many popular novels and movies is the "little guy" triumphing over adversity. You decide if this is becoming more of a reality in today's world.
Dr. Michael Walden: Retired people are on the move. They're going to resorts, towns and cities where their children and grandchildren live, or simply to locations with a lower cost of living. And they're not just visiting - they're staying.
It's a tall order to say anything definitive about the economy that far away. So many things can, and will, happen that are on nobody's radar screen. Making predictions for 2040, 2050 or 2060 really are "shots in the dark." There are largely two camps - optimistic and pessimistic. Here's a look from an economist's point of view.
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